15 abril 2013

Tablas: el Sporting y las opciones de playoff a falta de 8 jornadas

---Faltan 8 jornadas para el final de la Liga Adelante y las opciones del Sporting pasan por sumar casi todos los puntos en juego, a la vez que espera varios fallos de los rivales. En teoría, el promedio de puntuación de los equipos implicados podría situar la última plaza de playoff en 69-70 puntos, siendo bastante improbable que puedan servir los 68. Esto obligaría al Sporting a obtener 7 victorias o al menos 6 victorias y 2 empates, con la condición casi indispensable que entre los triunfos se incluyan las visitas a Las Palmas y Ponferradina.

En la primera tabla que adjuntamos (pincha para verla a mayor tamaño), observamos los puntos sumados por todos los equipos implicados en la lucha por las plazas de playoff en las últimas 8 jornadas de la primera vuelta. No hay que obviar que el contexto cambia ostensiblemente: no es lo mismo jugar 5 de los 8 partidos en casa que fuera o enfrentarse a un equipo como local que como visitante.

No obstante, tanto la primera como la segunda tabla (que recoge las 4 últimas jornadas de la primera vuelta), pueden servir para obtener una idea aproximada de la dureza del calendario que les espera a todos. De hecho, resulta significativa la escasa puntuación obtenida por el Almería y el Villarreal en la recta final de la primera vuelta.

En estas últimas jornadas habrá varios duelos directos (ojo al calendario del Villarreal y del Almería): Villarreal-Almería (J.42)
Almería-Girona (J.41)
Alcorcón-Almería (J.40)
Almería-Elche y Villarreal-Girona (J.39)
Alcorcón-Vilarreal (J.38)
Girona-Alcorcón, Villarreal-Elche y Las Palmas-Sporting (J.37)
Elche-Girona (J.36)
Ponferradina-Sporting y Alcorcón-Elche (J.35)

-Tablas: Transfermarkt

5 comentarios:

EXPEKULETOR 2.1 dijo...

Creo que hay que mirar también las clasificaciones de otros años en segunda. En las ultimas cinco temporadas con 67 puntos siempre se quedo 6º clasificado. Solamente la temporada pasada se necesitaron 71 puntos, pero fue una temporada en la que NO hubo muchos empates... Esta temporada esta produciéndose tambien, pero menos y en la fase final del campeonato es cuando mas se “suele” dar ese resultado.
Creo que con 67 puntos se puede promocionar, pero si es cierto que seria fundamental ganar de esos seis partidos necesarios para llegar a los 67 el que se jugara contra Las Palmas.

Anónimo dijo...

Yo tendría en cuenta Al Barcelona B en todo esto por que juega contra todos los de arriba.

Anónimo dijo...

Veo muy muy difícil que el Sporting llegue al final de Liga con opciones al playoff, pero la esperanza no se tiene que perder nunca. Mucha suerte!!!! Os mereceis estar en primera.

Anónimo dijo...

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